Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Shortage of young workers behind the decrease

 2010-02-26 published in the scale enterprises in the personnel manager, hiring managers, the QQ group of people there is a consensus within the PRD mm lack of work this year could reach 500 million.
Since 2004, China has many times a particularly severe this year,UGGs, employment gaps greater that some companies had to give up the hand of the orders. So, what is the cause shortage of migrant workers? Some people think that because of low wages, cost of living is too high; Some people think that because of poor working conditions , social security is imperfect, there is no dignity and sense of belonging; and still others because of shortage of migrant workers RMB real exchange rate appreciation, and so on.
I believe that the root cause of shortage of migrant workers, is the supply rate of decline in the total labor force, especially 20-40 age group to reduce the labor force. China 70 years from the last century began the full implementation of family planning, and now nearly 40 years. And now the Chinese migrant workers, migrant workers, mainly in the 20-40 age group .
after the founding until 1970, in addition to the period 1959-1961 than the non-normal, the total fertility rate of Chinese population were more than 5.0 in some years even more than 6.0, together with medical and health since the founding of the progress of the cause of death drastically reduced the number of significant growth in net annual increase of population reproduction type to to the The total fertility rate fell to 2.24, close to the generation replacement level. population is the foundation of a society, changes in population age structure is bound to affect all aspects of social and economic development. If only there shortage of migrant workers in coastal areas can also be said that the coastal treatment of migrant workers the region is not high, resulting in workers shortage of migrant workers can not help but consider the demographic factors.
In addition, the reform and opening up, China has continuously increased the level of urbanization, China's urbanization rate in 1978 was only 17.92%, rising to 45.68% in 2008. rural population declining proportion of the population, means that the source of migrant workers continued to shrink the size, leading to the supply capacity of migrant workers become poorer.
Labor Shortage in sharp contrast with another phenomenon: the difficult employment of university graduates. In fact these two kinds of phenomena are related: college enrollment since 1999, reducing the threshold of the university, so many young people choose to go to college, thereby reducing the number of younger workers. The students, after graduation, many people do not want to become blue-collar workers, and now China has not yet been completed industrial upgrading, thus leading to shortage of migrant workers in China on the one hand there, on the other hand there Graduates Employment.
way to deal with shortage of migrant workers, on the one hand is to accelerate technological and industrial upgrading, the labor intensive industries to upgrade technology-intensive industries, which would also help alleviate the students job difficult. but we also need to keep the fertility rate at a reasonable level. from the population age structure, the declining proportion of young Chinese, and increasing proportion of elderly population. For example, 0-14-year-old children the proportion of the total population in 1982 (third census) was 33.6% in 1990 (fourth census) down 27.86%, 2000 ( the fifth census) down to 22.8%, 19.0% in 2008 and further down,bailey UGG boots, down very fast. Also, as a heavy burden, suffering from a recovery.
With the aging population, the gradual depletion of the demographic dividend, and the ; shortage

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